Bye Week Report: The State of the Raiders
A two game losing skid finds the Las Vegas Raiders on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoff picture and now half a game behind the Los Angeles Chargers for second place in the AFC West as the Kansas City Chiefs seem to be on their way to another divisional title.
It hasn't been all bad for the Raiders as they took advantage of the lighter part of their schedule, winning four straight and five of their previous six games before losing to the Miami Dolphins and the Chiefs.
The magic number to make the playoffs is likely ten to eleven wins and the path is there with the remaining schedule: home against the Vikings, Chargers and Broncos with road trips to Kansas City and Indianapolis. The Raiders will likely be favored against the Broncos and Colts with the Vikings and Chargers being pick-em games so if they can win the games they are supposed to win and split the rest, the playoffs are certainly a possibility.
Best player through weeks 1-12:
A down game against Miami and the New York Giants a few weeks ago has allowed Cooper Kupp to take over as the NFL's leader in receiving yards but through twelve games, Davante Adams has been one of the best players in the entire league and certainly the Raiders best player.
Josh Jacobs has been really good, averaging 4.7 yards per carry and 93.5 yards per game but with just one touchdown, it's Adams whose been the most impactful player and will need to continue to be down the stretch if the Raiders are to make the playoffs.
Worst player through weeks 1-12:
A few different options here, unfortunately. From the eye test, it's probably right guard Greg van Roten who has gotten beat pretty consistently in pass blocking this season but he grades out better in Pro Football Focus (64.6 PFF grade) than the other interior linemen in LG Dylan Parham (60.6) and center Andre James (62.7).
Defensively, Tyree Wilson is the lowest rated starting defensive player for the Raiders according to PFF, coming in at 67.9 and his counting stats aren't that much better with 31 tackles, six tackles for loss and 3.5 sacks. By comparison, in 200 less snaps, Malcolm Koonce has 21 tackles, 7 tackles for loss and two sacks on the season. Koonce was a third round pick in 2021 while Wilson was a top ten pick.
Rounding out the options is Jakobi Meyers who is on this list perhaps by no fault of his own. 209 of his 322 receiving yards have come after the catch so he's been effective when he does get the ball but with 33 receptions on 576 snaps played, those aren't the numbers you expected from him when you signed him. He's been overtaken as the top slot option by Tre Tucker who is averaging 20.7 yards per reception compared to Meyers' 9.8 yards per reception.
Tucker's emergence has kicked Meyers out to the boundary as a receiver where he isn't really effective so it's a chicken/egg situation right now.
Most Impressive game so far:
W 34-13 vs. Pittsburgh
A primetime game after losing to the Bills on the road in a two score game, the Raiders jumped on the Steelers and never let it go. They outgained them in total offense, passing offense and rushing offense in one of Jimmy Garoppolo's cleaner games where he completed 68 percent of his passes for 318 yards without relying on chunk plays to Adams or Tucker with completions to seven different receivers.
Least Impressive game so far:
W 14-9 at Denver
They were competitive against Buffalo, Los Angeles, New England and Kansas City which are all playoff teams and the Miami game was a wild one where they easily could have won as well and despite their record, the Dolphins are still a very talented football team.
It was the first game of the season so they get a bit of a reprieve but that was a tough one to watch. Garoppolo averaged just 5.6 yards per attempt and the Raiders scored one offensive touchdown that entire game.
Contract negotiations at this point:
There's still some football left to be played but there’s some important players headed to free agency for 2024:
HB Josh Jacobs - We all know the situation here with Jacobs being late to sign his franchise tag and arriving to training camp late, just in time for the regular season pretty much. Jacobs is having a similar year to last season where he led the league in rushing, which he could do again this season. The touchdowns aren't there as he scored twelve last season and in 2020 but that shouldn't be held against him as Zamir White has received the short yardage carries. The big question here is if the relationship has been mended and if the two sides can even get back to the negotiating table or is was this always going to be Jacobs' swan song with the Raiders?
CB Marcus Peters - It's been a rollercoaster of a year for Peters which is to be expected of a 30-year old corner. He's had really good games and really bad ones, getting benched against the Giants and not even playing much against Miami. At this point in his career, Peters' physical limitations means he's a healthy scratch against certain teams so for a corner that's likely going to demand $10 million or more per year, it's tough to see Vegas bringing him back unless he takes on a different role.
IDL Bilal Nichols - A former fifth round pick with the Bears, Nicholas signed a two-year, $11 million contract with the Raiders and is having a career year in the final year of the deal. Nichols could be looking at a similar deal if he wants to re-up and the Raiders will likely be looking to do as he's shown flashes as a pass rusher this season from the inside.
C Andre James - Simply put, James hasn't been very good, even coming off arguably his best game against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Raiders need to upgrade that entire offensive line and it starts with James who is a solid backup but not a high level starter in this league.
T Jermaine Eluemunor - Eluemunor would have been named the team's worst player earlier in this article but with him out with an injury for the past six weeks, he was exempt from consideration. At this point with Justin Herron playing okay, it might be up for debate if the team even wants Eluemunor back into the starting lineup. If they do play him once healthy, he'll need to put together a strong couple of games for them to even consider bringing him back.
G Greg van Roten - Another position where Vegas needs an upgrade at, van Roten just isn't it.
NT John Jenkins - At 34, the team needs someone else to step up and be the nose tackle of the future as Jenkins hasn't been impactful at all this season.
CB David Long Jr. - He didn't play much to begin the season but has been their fourth and sometimes third corner this year since week six, posting very impressive PFF grades (85.2). We'll see what the Raiders choose to do with Peters but the fact that they chose to start the season not playing Long might be an indication of how they feel about him long term especially with the emergence to Nate Hobbs as a Pro Bowl caliber corner on the outside and Jakorian Bennett having some really good game this season at nickel.
TE Austin Hooper - The drafting of Michael Mayer always put Austin Hooper in a mentorship role so it was a matter of time before Mayer took over which he eventually did before Hooper went down with an injury that landed him on IR. Hooper is surprisingly young at 28 so they could bring him back on a low salary deal.
Way Too Early Las Vegas Raiders Mock Draft: Vegas needs more steak to their sizzle
Entering the season, almost everyone pegged the Las Vegas Raiders to finish somewhere in the bottom half of the NFL with their over/under being 6.5 wins and that they would be selecting one of the top quarterbacks in next spring's draft.
The Raiders have already improved on last year's win total and have already bested their over/under win total and are now a legitimate threat to make the playoffs. While the 31-year old, oft-injured Jimmy Garoppolo is far from the long term answer at quarterback, the Raiders certainly have more pressing needs that can be addressed in the draft in a few months and with Garoppolo's play and the team's record, it has all but taken them completely out of the hunt for one of the top arms based on their selection.
With quarterback likely off the table as an early pick, it frees up the Raiders to address some other positions that probably aren't going to general a ton of sizzle and jersey sales but could drastically improve the football team, starting with the interior of the offensive and defensive line. Here's an early look ahead into a potential draft for the Raiders based on their projected finish and the prospects trending towards being available in those spots.
Projected Draft Picks (subject to change) ‣ Round 1, Pick 22 OT Joe Alt | 6'8", 322lbs | 3rd ranked OT
While guard and center is a more pressing need, right tackle is the more premium position and pairing Alt with Kolten Miller would give the Raiders two solid bookend tackles to anchor that offensive line. Miller is 27 and the hope would be that Alt would start out on the right side and eventually slide into that left tackle spot when the time comes.
As a prospect, Alt comes from a good bloodline as his father was a first round pick in the 1984 NFL Draft and an All-Pro for the Chiefs before being inducted into their Hall of Fame. A former tight end in high school, Alt has a tall, lean frame that carries its mass extremely well with elite movement skills and can close gaps with explosiveness. Despite not playing the position for very long, Alt has already turned himself into an All-Americana and is an instinctive, high IQ blocker in both phases with vision and quick reaction speed.
The drawbacks are that while he has an exceptional power profile, he sometimes struggles to drive after contact. He's also shown to have issues with sealing better leveraged defenders and as a former tight end, he doesn't quite have elite physical edge or mauling mentality.
This selection is a bit of wishful thinking as Alt could easily go in the top fifteen so the other options here would be a Cooper Beebe out of Kansas State or BYU's Kingsley Suamtatia who a more of your traditional, squattier right tackles.
‣ Round 2, Pick 51 (via PHI) CB Jason Marshall Jr. | 6'1", 203lbs | 5th ranked CB
The corners have been pretty solid this season but with Marcus Peters not getting any young, the Raiders can definitely use another outside corner to place opposite of Nate Hobbs. David Long Jr. has shown flashes this season but he's far from a true number two corner and Jason Marshall Jr. out of Florida has the traits to not only be that but be a possible number one corner.
Marshall is everything you could ask for in a corner. In a game shifting toward slimmer receivers and defensive backs, Marshall is stacked together with outstanding density and the ideal amount of length. It should come as no surprise that the Miami native was one of the top CB recruits from his class.
Marshall is tailor-made to be a man-to-man cornerback. He possesses smooth feet that transition without wasted movement, and his ability to mirror off is impressive. However, Marshall must improve his consistency as a tackler and learn to play more physically along the route stem and at the catch point which is why he might be available for the Raiders to snag him up.
‣ Round 2, Pick 54 DT T'Vondre Sweat | 6'4", 362lbs | 8th ranked DT
Two of the first three picks aren't going to steal headlines but absolutely address major team needs. A decade or two earlier, Sweat might be a top ten pick but as the NFL has continued to evolve, the role of a nose tackle has been devalued so getting someone like Sweat in the second round is a potential steal as some scouting experts view him as a first round talent, including CBS' Chris Trapasso who has him going 31st to the Kansas City Chiefs.
If Sweat does fall out of the first round and is there at 54, the Raiders are getting a mammoth of a man who is a forced to be reckoned with on the inside of the defense. At Texas, he makes everything else possible for his teammates, holding up extremely well at the point of attack, even against double teams. Imagine the freedom he would allow someone like Tyree Wilson and of course Maxx Crosby as well as fellow interior linemen mate Byron Young.
‣ Round 3, Pick 86 C Zach Frazier | 6'3", 310lbs | 2nd ranked C
It's not a particularly deep class along the interior of the offensive line so there's a chance at Frazier gets drafted earlier than this, potentially in the 2nd round or earlier in the third round.
Frazier is one of the strongest interior linemen in the country. He may not excel in space as an athletic player who is skilled at making landmark moves on the second level of defenses but he effectively handles players in front of him, whether in the running game or as a pass blocker.
With the NFL seeing more freakishly athletic defensive tackles enter the league, having a strongman who can anchor in place and require little help is valuable. Frazier has good awareness and is a solid help blocker. His athleticism will limit which schemes he fits which could allow the Raiders to scoop him up as he compares to David Andrews, who has had no problems in the New England Patriots offense (aka the Raiders offense) as one of their best offensive linemen for the past decade.
‣ Round 4, Pick 109 (via MIN) HB Miyan Williams | 5'9", 226lbs | 7th ranked HB
This is with the assumption that Josh Jacobs will be playing football elsewhere in 2024. The Raiders used a fourth round pick in 2022 on Zamir White who is a relatively unimpressive running back so far as a pro, picking up the yards that are there but not really doing much beyond that, averaging 4.1 yards per carry with four touchdowns.
The anthesis of that is Miyan Williams who picks up the yards that aren't there with his physical running style that does not allow the first tackler to consistently bring him down. He reads the lanes fairly well and is a willing blocker which is a big plus in McDaniels' offense. He is a tad bit undersized but that does not affect his bruising style at all and while there is not much production in the passing game, he does run a variety of routes at Ohio State.
‣ Round 5, Pick 146 (via NO) QB Kyle McCord | 6'3", 215lbs | 14th ranked QB
The Raiders already have Aiden O'Connell as a developmental guy so it could be argued that just adding another body in that quarterback room won't do neither player much good but Garoppolo isn't the long term future so they need to throw as many darts on the board as they can until they find that player.
McCord is relatively unproven with just a handful of starts at Ohio State but he was a highly regarded prospect coming out of St. Joseph Prep. He won't wow you with any specific attribute but he's a well rounded quarterback with a very nice touch on his deep balls as well as the ability to anticipate windows and fit in tight throws with good velocity. While he doesn't have the strongest of arms, it's an NFL arm that's paired with a quick release and good ball placement.
A similar prospect in that regard is Tyler Van Dyke out of Miami who is a bit more proven and has a thicker build although he is also limited when it comes to their mobility. Other quarterbacks that have more upside that should be available in this range are Tennessee's Joe Milton and South Carolina's Spencer Rattler.
‣ Round 5, Pick 150 ILB Eric Gentry | 6'6", 220lbs | 11th ranked ILB
Divine Deablo and Robert Spillane might lead the league in tackles but they leave plenty to be desired in pass coverage as they have been the Raiders biggest weakness against the passing game as neither have been good in coverage this season.
Expecting Gentry to finally put on the weight once he gets to the NFL is an unfair expectation and instead, whichever NFL team drafts him should utilize him as a pass coverage specialist on passing downs. He's got great length and quickness to make him effective in coverage while also capable of being a sideline to sideline playmaker as he has enough speed to chase and run in pursuit.
Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers get their lick back against the Philadelphia Eagles
It won't heal losing in the NFC Championship Game last year but Brock Purdy throwing for 346 yards and two touchdowns against the Philadelphia Eagles must have felt good for the Iowa State alumn and the 49ers faithful as they dominated the Eagles 31-13 in a rematch of last year's NFC Championship Game where the Eagles beat the 49ers following Purdy leaving the game with a shoulder injury.
It was a big time win for the 49ers as their winning streak reaches eleven to sit sole atop the NFC standings with a three game lead over the New Orleans Saints. They've all but clinched the NFC West as Seattle is four games behind with five games left in the season.
Jalen Hurts and Philadelphia's offense never got going as Hurts threw for 204 yards and the Eagles gained just 51 yards on the ground as they were outgained 472 to 255. The loss puts the Eagles back in third place of the NFC East, losers of four straight as they surrendered the divisional leader for the 7-5 Dallas Cowboys, who have won three straight.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Week 13 NFL Results 03 - 35--------- 07 - 10---------31 - 14 --------- 32 - 35 21 - 24--------- 21 - 28---------33 - 17 ---------24 - 17 21 - 17 ---------31 - 13 ---------21 - 00 ---------34 - 24 35 - 31 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- NFL Playoff Picture AFC
1. Kansas City, 10-2
2. Baltimore, 9-3
3. New England, 8-4
4. Tennessee, 8-4
5. Cincinnati, 9-3
6. LA Chargers, 8-4
7. Buffalo, 8-4
-- Pittsburgh, 8-4
-- NY Jets, 7-5
-- Las Vegas, 7-5
NFC
1. San Francisco, 11-1
2. New Orleans, 8-4
3. Dallas, 7-5
4. Detroit, 7-5
5. Seattle, 7-5
6. Atlanta, 7-5
7. Chicago, 6-6
-- NY Giants, 6-6
-- Philadelphia, 6-6
-- Carolina, 5-7
-- Minnesota, 5-7
-- Tampa, 5-8
-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Race for the No. 1 Pick
32. Houston, 0-12
31. Washington, 1-12
30. Green Bay, 1-11
29. Arizona, 2-11
28. Indianapolis, 3-9
-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Players of the Week QB Dak Prescott: 23 of 27, 307 yards, 3 touchdowns DE Micah Parsons: 8 tackles, 4 sacks QB Joe Burrow: 17 of 24, 306 yards, 4 touchdowns DT Dalvin Tomlinson: 6 tackles, 3 sacks
-------------------------------------------------------------------------- NFL Interception Leaders CB Marlon Humphrey: 6 interceptions LB Shaq Thompson: 5 interceptions CB Tariq Woolen: 4 interceptions CB Chidobe Awuzie: 4 interceptions S Jordan Poyer: 4 interceptions
-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Notable Injuries G Teven Jenkins: Season (leg) G Andrew Norwell: Season (knee) DE Von Miller: Season (ankle) HB Nyheim Hines: Season (knee) LB Jonas Griffith: Season (knee) CB Patrick Surtain II: Season (groin) WR Tim Patrick: Season (Achilles) WR Jakeem Grant Sr.: Season (knee) C Ryan Jensen: Season (knee) WR Russell Gage Jr.: Season (knee) QB Kyler Murray: Season (knee) TE Zach Ertz: Season (ankle) S Lamarcus Joyner: 3 Weeks (collarbone) WR Mike Williams: Season (wrist) WR Richie James: Season (hip) HB Jonathan Taylor: Season (knee) CB Jalen Ramsey: Season (knee) CB Isaiah Rodgers Sr: Season (knee) HB Elijah Mitchell: Season (hamstring) LB Jarrad Davis: Season (knee) S Chuck Clark: Season (knee) T Cam Robinson: Season (foot) WR Quintez Cephus: Season (tibia) TE Austin Hooper: Season (chest) LB Azeez Al-Shaair: Season (knee) QB Ryan Tannehill: 4 Weeks (ankle)
Week 14 Preview: vs. Minnesota Vikings
Record: 5-7, 3rd NFC North
Head Coach: Kevin O'Connell (18-11)
Offensive Coordinator: Wes Phillips (West Coast Zone Run)
Defensive Coordinator: Brian Flores (Base 3-4)
Still playing pretty well despite the offensive line being seemingly the poorest performing unit on the team (according to that last article)
yeah it hasn't been great up front outside of left tackle Kolton Miller which has made the offense a bit of feast or famine, especially in the red zone when the defense can drop 7 and cover up the entire field, rushing just 4
K.J. Osborn, Minnesota Vikings fall two yards short of miracle finish against Raiders
Two historic franchises with a tortured experience in recent years. Two polarizing quarterbacks putting together one of their best statistical seasons. Two head coaches in their second year with respective franchise, trying to make their imprint. Two teams whose playoff hopes are on the brink of dying on the vine.
101 yards on a kickoff return. 530 passing yards with a 43-yard completion on the last play of the game. Two yards short, however.
Kirk Cousins' pass to K.J. Osborn almost ignited a second Minnesota Miracle, only for Osborn to be tackled out of bounds two yards short of the end zone by Raiders safety Marcus Epps as Las Vegas held on to the 41-38 win on Sunday to keep their playoff dreams alive.
It was looking like it was going to be a rout after a roughing the kicker penalty on Epps' in the fourth quarter helped Minnesota score the first touchdown of the game and on the next play from scrimmage, Raiders receiver Davante Adams' fumble would leave to a Minnesota return for a touchdown. A Leonard Fournette catch and run would make it 21-3 at the end of the first quarter with a potential rout fully underway.
The Raiders would make it competitive in the second quarter, scoring three touchdowns to make it 31-24 at the half and eventually take the lead in the third quarter with a 22-yard touchdown to Adams with 3:45 left in the third quarter to go up 34-31 thanks to a field goal earlier in the quarter.
With Minnesota right tackle Brian O'Neil out of the game with an injury, Raiders pass rusher Maxx Crosby feasted in the fourth quarter, recording six quarterback pressures and a sack with 8:27 remaining to force a Minnesota punt. The Raiders tried to salt away the game with their running game but Brandon Bolden's fumble gave Minnesota the ball right back.
A 20-yard completion to Osborn would get the Vikings in scoring range and eventually near the goal line before Cousins was sacked by Jerry Tillery to push them back. The Raiders defense seemingly made a stop on 3rd and goal from their own five-yard line but Crosby would be called for a roughing the passer penalty, extending the drive. Similar to Epps' penalty in the first quarter, Minnesota would take advantage, scoring two plays later on a handoff to Fournette to take the lead with 1:59 remaining.
It didn't last very long as rookie receiver Tre Tucker returned the ensuing kickoff 101 yards for the touchdown. An interception by Nate Hobbs on the next play from scrimmage would give the Raiders the ball back but they were once again unable to run the clock out and were forced to punt the ball away with 1:30 remaining.
It was almost instant disaster for the Vikings as Cousins was sacked on the second play of the drive and with no timeouts. They bounced back however with completions of 17 and 19 yards to Osborn and Jordan Addison to get the ball to the Raiders 45-yard line with four seconds left.
With Crosby barreling towards Cousins, he launched it deep to Osborn who managed to get free from Hobbs and behind him, catching the ball near the 20-yard line. It was then a dash to the end zone between Osborn and Epps who initially struggled to get Osborn down but was eventually able to do so right at the two-yard line.
Cousins' 530 passing yards are 2nd most in NFL history, trailing only Norm van Brocklin's 554-yard performance for the Rams back in 1951.
Scoring Summary
Quarter 1 Justin Jefferson 3 Yd pass from Kirk Cousins (8:10) Brian Asamoah II, returned fumble 32 Yds (7:58) Daniel Carlson, 35 Yd FG (3:43) Leonard Fournette 44 Yd pass from Kirk Cousins (3:31)
Quarter 2 Josh Jacobs, 8 Yd run (13:33) Greg Joseph, 55 Yd FG (9:22) Josh Jacobs, 2 Yd run (3:01) Justin Jefferson 19 Yd pass from Kirk Cousins (1:01) Davante Adams 16 Yd pass from Jimmy Garoppolo (0:20)
Quarter 3 Daniel Carlson, 26 Yd FG (8:57) Davante Adams 22 Yd pass from Jimmy Garoppolo (3:39)
Quarter 4 Leonard Fournette, 1 Yd run (1:56) Tre Tucker, returned kickoff 102 Yds (1:46)
QB Kirk Cousins: 42 of 64, 530 yards, 3 touchdowns, 2 interceptions, sacked 4 times
HB Leonard Fournette: 7 carries, 25 yards, touchdown, 7 receptions, 60 yards, touchdown
HB Alexander Mattison: 3 carries, 3 yards
TE Josh Oliver: 10 receptions, 82 yards
WR K.J. Osborn: 8 receptions, 173 yards
WR Justin Jefferson: 7 receptions, 82 yards, 2 touchdowns
WR Jordan Addison: 5 receptions, 97 yards
LB Jordan Hicks: 13 tackles, 2 tackles for loss
S Camryn Bynum: 13 tackles, 2 forced fumble
S Harrison Smith: 12 tackles, 2 tackles for loss, forced fumble
LB Brian Asamoah II: 11 tackles, 2 tackles for loss, fumble recovery, touchdown
CB Byron Murphy Jr: 9 tackles, fumble recovery
QB Jimmy Garoppolo: 29 of 47, 353 yards, 2 touchdowns, sacked once
HB Josh Jacobs: 32 carries, 129 yards, 2 touchdowns
WR Davante Adams: 11 receptions, 141 yards, 2 touchdowns
TE Michael Mayer: 8 receptions, 103 yards
WR Tre Tucker: 4 receptions, 66 yards
LT Miller: 91.4 PPF grade | LG Parham: 59.6 PFF grade | C James: 66.1 PFF grade | RG van Roten: 53.3 PFF grade | RT Herron: 71.1 PFF grade
CB Marcus Peters: 11 tackles (65.9 PFF grade)
CB Nate Hobbs: 9 tackles, interception (60.0 PFF grade)
LB Divine Deablo: 9 tackles (60.4 PFF grade)
LB Robert Spillane: 7 tackles, tackle for loss (56.3 PFF grade)
S Tre'von Moerhig: 5 tackles, interception (55.4 PFF grade)
EDGE Maxx Crosby: 4 tackles, 3 tackles for loss, 2 sacks (100 PFF grade)